According to a report,“Lubricant Additives Market Analysis By Product (Dispersants, Viscosity Index Modifiers, Detergents, Anti-Wear Additives, Antioxidants, Friction Modifiers), By Application (Automotive (HDV and LDV), Industrial (Metalworking Fluids, General Industrial Oil, Industrial Engine Oil)) And Segment Forecasts To 2024“,published by Grand View Research, Inc.The global lubricant additives market is expected to reach USD 18.85 billion by 2024, Stringent regulations regarding the permissible amount of carbon emission in the atmosphere are expected to remain a key driving factor for global lubricant additives market. Additive prices witnessed a significant decline in 2015 as a result of fluctuations in prices of key raw materials.
Their prices are heavily dependent on prices of calcium carbonate, zinc metal, and crude oil.Viscosity index improvers were the leading product segment with demand share estimated at 23.3% in 2015. Friction modifiers, which act as a cushion between two coated surfaces thereby minimizing surface contacts, are expected to register highest volume growth of 3.5% over the forecast period.
Key Takeaways from the report:
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Global lubricant additives market demand was4.28 million tons in 2015 and is expected to reach 5.36 million tons by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 2.5%from 2015 to 2024
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Automotive lubricants were the largest application segment and accounted for over 59.5% of total market volume in 2015. Increasing passenger car production and consequent sales particularly in China, India, Thailand, and Indonesia is expected to drive this segment over the forecast period.
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General industrial oils were the largest segment for industrial lubricants and accounted for over 35% of its volume in 2015. Recovery of manufacturing sectors in North America and Europe along with high industrial output in Asian markets is expected to drive the segment growth.
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Passenger car motor oil was the leading segment for automotive lubricant additives with its demand estimated at over 900 kilo tons in 2015. Consumption is expected to be driven by developing aftermarket for lubricating oils in emerging economies.
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Asia Pacific emerged as the leading regional market with demand share exceeding 30% in 2015. High demand for passenger cars in China, South and Southeast Asia along with a robust lubricant aftermarket sale is expected to complement the regional demand.
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Global lubricant additives market is highly concentrated in nature with Chevron Oronite, Afton Chemical, and Lubrizol being the top manufacturers. Top four companies account for over three-quarters of the industry share. Other key participants include BASF, Evonik Industries, Chemtura Corporation, Shamrock Shipping & Trading Limited, Infineum International Limited, IOCL, Croda International plc, and Tianhe Chemicals Group.
U.S. lubricant additives market volume by product, 2014 – 2024 (Kilo Tons)
Application Insights
On the basis of application, the global lubricant additives market is segmented as automotive and industrial lubricants. These segments are further divided into heavy duty & passenger car motor oils, general industrial oils, industrial engine oils, and metal working fluids.
Passenger car motor oil was the dominant segment accounting for over 30% of the global volume in 2014 and is expected to maintain its dominance over the forecast period. EURO norms, regulating the amount of nitrogen oxide, carbon monoxide, soot and hydrocarbons coupled with shift a in consumer preferences towards using operationally efficient and low viscosity fuel is driving the need for passenger car motor oil.
In industrial lubricants category, general industrial oil accounted for over 35% of the global volume in 2014 and is expected to be the fastest growing segment over the future. The shift of manufacturing facilities to low-cost Asian markets is no longer attractive owing to declining cost competitiveness of manufacturers in the region.
Also, these manufacturers are improving and modernizing the manufacturing process to become competitive across the globe. This is expected to influence market dynamics in terms of volume and quality of lubricants consumed.
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Regional Outlook
Asia Pacific lubricant additives market led the global industry with demand share estimated over 25% in 2014. Growth is expected to be driven by development fuel efficiency norms coupled with growing environmental concerns about carbon emission in China, India, and Japan.
Economic growth in the region coupled with industrialization has enabled greater production and possession of vehicles. Asia Pacific is poised to be the fastest growing at a CAGR of over 3% from 2016 to 2024.
Various environmental and legal factors are promoting industry development in Central & South America and the Middle East & Africa as well. These regions are also home to major countries such as Brazil and South Africa that are growing at a rapid rate due to increasing passenger car and heavy duty vehicle production domestically.
Recovery of manufacturing sectors in mature economies of North America and Europe such as the U.S., UK, Germany, and Italy will drive consumption over the forecast horizon. Increasing government intervention to achieve fuel economy targets is anticipated to impact further industry dynamics.
Grand View Research has segmented the lubricant additives market on the basis of product, application and region:
Global Lubricant Additives Product Outlook (Volume, Kilo Tons; Revenue, USD Million, 2014 – 2024)
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Dispersants
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Viscosity Index Improvers
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Detergents
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Anti-wear Additives
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Antioxidants
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Friction Modifiers
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Others
Global Lubricant Additives Application Outlook (Volume, Kilo Tons; Revenue, USD Million, 2014 – 2024)
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Automotive Lubricants
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Heavy Duty Motor Oil
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Passenger Car Motor Oil
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Industrial Lubricants
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General Industrial Oil
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Industrial Engine Oil
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Metalworking Fluids
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Global Lubricant Additives Regional Outlook (Volume, Kilo Tons; Revenue, USD Million, 2014 – 2024)
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North America
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U.S
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Europe
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Germany
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UK
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France
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Italy
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Russia
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Asia Pacific
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India
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China
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Japan
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Central & South America
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Brazil
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Middle East and Africa
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Saudi Arabia
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